It's Friday June 9, 2006, and yesterday was a wild day, the Dow
dropped over 177 points at one point and was down for most of the day
and the money started flowing in at about 2:50pm EST giving a small
boost to the Dow and it finally closed up a pinch, just over 7 points..
The bottom line here is that you have to begin looking at stocks on an
individual basis and don't continue to look at the S&P, the Dow or
the Nasdaq Composite as a gauge because it will not guide you through
this rollercoaster ride.
This
is why we feature individual stocks and give our outlook based on the
company and the industry. If the stock is not a slave to the Dow but
gets dragged down in the process you should be all over it because that
is an opportunity.
This market will continue to go up and down and
sideways until there is some clarity in regards to an interest rate
hike. This is not just a problem for U.S. markets but worldwide and if
anyone tells you any different they are not doing you a service.
Interest rates around the globe were raised yesterday as inflation
worries loom.
We received plenty of emails from our listeners and
readers asking for direction, asking us whether they should buy, sell or
hold a particular issue. We do not feature each and every email or
question because when you ask for our direction we do our homework so
that we are giving you our best outlook on the stock, and not doing it
on the fly because that could cause more harm than good.
Yesterday
we had more new subscribers to "Wall Street to Main Street" than ever,
and that just shows you that investors are looking for guidance, and
we're trying hard to do that for you. Investment advisers, stockbrokers,
and even several investment clubs added themselves to the list of
subscribers yesterday, so we have to be doing something right.
Now
that we established where we stand lets move forward and try to cherry
pick those stocks that have been oversold by not only institutions but
by investors.
Movers and Shakers
Some major movers in
yesterdays trading session include Overstock.com (NASDAQ: OSTK), which
traded up $1.56 to close at $23.16, now we are talking about a company
that has negative earnings to the tune of $1.20a a share. It is bouncing
off of its 52 week low of $20.89, so in other words this is a dead cat
bouncing. Even with they added a quicker checkout process on their site
by implementing AuctionCheckout.com's online payment service, this still
won't bring it back to life. Companies that actually earn money were
driven down on Thursday and there was no real reason why this puppy made
upward movement, it's an anomaly I guess.
Allegheny Technology
(NYSE: ATI) traded up $3.50 to close on $62.75, now it wasn't as simple
as the stock just moving up, it went down with the rest of the market,
traded as low as $54 78 before the buying starting flowing back into the
stock. When you see a stock like Allegheny Tech traded down that low
and that fast you have to find out why, nothing fundamentally changed
with the company. Actually Leo Larkin an Analyst with Standard &
Poor's Equity Research recently upgraded the stock from a Sell to a
Hold., he actually forecasted 2006 earnings of $4.40 for the company,
they posted an EPS of $3.60 for 2005, so S&P sees growth. These are
the type of companies that you have to seek out, those that are oversold
for no good reason. The demand for Stainless Steel will continue to
grow in aerospace and power generation, so they may live up to Larkin's
expectations.
Fluor Corp (NYSE: FLR) traded up $3.24 to close at
$88.58, the global engineering, procurement, construction, operations,
maintenance and project management service provided dropped over $3 on
Wednesday, traded as low as $82.93 on Thursday and powered up to close
up over $3.24 for the day. The stock was trading over $100 a share this
past May and was hammered down, this is one that could creep back up to
the $95
Autozone (NYSE: AZO) traded up $2.48 to close at $93.00,
this came on the heels of the former President, Vice Chairman and
Director of Borders (NYSE: BGP) George R. Mrkonic, Jr joined the board
of directors of Autozone. So that is the reason for the movement, this
all came to light on Wednesday after the close. Now Autozone is about
$10 off its 52 week high and sits with an EPS of $7.30 and a P/E of 12.
With Mrkonic giving his input at Autozone you'll see this one back in
the triple digits.
Other stocks that made moves on the upside
include Allergan Inc (NYSEL AGN) which traded up $3.79 to close at
$102.27, Giant Industries (NYSE: GI) traded up $3.19 to close at $62.70,
Noble Corporation (NYSE: NE) traded up $2.39 to close at $67.53,
Occidental Pertroleum (NYSE: OXY) traded up $22.6 to close at $96.98 on
its way back to $100, Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL) traded up $2.19 o
close at $60.76, this is a stock that should be in the $70 range,
Comtech Telecommunications (NASDAQ: CMTL) traded up $1.80 to close at
$32.88, Whirlpool Corp (NYSE: WHR) traded up $1.76 to close at $84.50 as
they company is looking to trim some fat and Lockheed Martin (NYSE:
LMT) traded up $1.62 to close at $72.62.
Under Ten
Now lets
take a look at movers in the market under ten bucks, Globix Corp (AMEX:
GEX) a blast from the past, I remember when this stock was in the $50
range, but that was a long time ago and on a different exchange, but the
stock traded up 55 cents to close at $4.80, Nitromed (NASDAQ: NTMD)
traded up 35 cents on nice volume to close at $4.99, Cortex
Pharmaceuticals (AMEX: COR) traded up 35 cents to close at $3.32,
Alliance One International (NYSE: AOI) traded up 27 cents to close at
$4.47, Isolagen (AMEX: ILE) traded up 22 cents to close at $2.85 on
close to 2 million shares traded and Generex Biotechnology (NASDAQ:
GNBT) which traded up 14 cents to close at $1.85.
Downers
Apollo
Group (NASDAQ: APOL) slipped down $1.59 to close at $53.88, the company
is involved in the higher education for adults business, they operate
through their subsidiaries The University of Phoenix, Inc, Western
International University, Inc., Institute for Professional Development
and The College for Financial Planning, Inc. There was no news yesterday
on the company so maybe it was just driven down by market conditions,
but just because there was no news on Thursday does not mean that
something will not surface today. There has been a changing of the
guards at the company, take that into account with a potential slowdown
in enrollments and you are in the dark waters. The stock is close to its
52 week low of $47.27 but seems to have support in the high $51 to low
$52 range. Lets see how it shapes up today.
Focus Media Holdings
(NASDAQ: FMCN) dropped down again on Thursday and its just about getting
to a good entry point. The bottom here should be in the $48 to $50
range but that doesn't mean that it will hit that point, if it does then
we'll sit on the sidelines because it could slip into the high $30
range. The stock traded down $8.07 to close at $51.56 and there were a
few factors involved, first it hit a ceiling for the third time in a row
as we mentioned at $68 and second they filed to sell 1,000,000 American
Depository Shares or ADS's. So here's the game plan, you need to see if
the stock is actually going to bottom yet, and it looks like it just
might. Market conditions may just push it down into the $50-$51 range so
you have to pick your entry point.
Matria Healthcare (NASDAQ:
MTRA) was knocked down even before the bell range and that was for a few
reasons, of course the obvious Market Conditions and the main reasons
was that they lowered their full year forecast from $1.35-$1.50 to
$1.10-$1.17. Now they did this because they anticipated a delay in
various contracts that they have on tap. But the street was looking for
$1.10 for the full year anyway so they should be in line with that
number. I think that this is just overdone and you had money whipping
out from a few institutions and that started a domino effect as small
investors started to bail. This looks like an opportunity because the
bleeding should be pretty much over and the street will realize that if
not today very shortly. So take a look at the charts, fundamentals and
the press releases and you'll get the picture. It closed at $22.12 down
$5.24.
I just want to touch on Peru Copper (AMEX: CUP) quickly, we
received a ton of emails and calls in regards to the company because it
halted trading on Wednesday with no follow up. We spoke about it on
Thursday and the bottom line is that speculators thought that Southern
Copper (NYSE: PCU) was going to buy Peru Copper but that seemed to be
far fetched, even though PCU made public statements in regards to it a
week or so ago. So that could be a dead deal but do not sleep on Peru
Copper because they did hint that there are other potential suitors that
have showed an interest in their Toromocho project. The stock pulled
back a bit but that was the speculators jumping ship once they were done
bottom fishers started picking up the scraps, keep in tune with Peru
Copper as it just may shock you in a good way in the coming months.
Know
lets talk about a real smack down and a half, Joseph A. Bank (NASDAQ:
JOSB), we alerted "Wall Street to Main Street" subscribers about this
one before bell as the company missed the mark by a long margin as they
announce earnings of 32 cents a share but the street expected 46 cents a
share. Investors woke up to a nightmare with this one, and its probably
not over yet. The stock closed down $10.73 to close at $26.40 making a
new 52-week low.
InfoSonics (AMEX: IFO) has been getting beaten up
this week, especially after it received a nice downgrade from a Buy to a
Hold by Kaufman Brothers They will be splitting 2 for 1 shortly and
right now the stock is about 10 points off of its recent 52-week high.
We're sticking by this one as we still see it trading in the $20 post
split. Now it may not happen immediately but it should settle in there
once the street realizes the company's true value. It powered up from a
low of $21.10 on Thursday to close at $23.60.
Hansen Natural
(NASDAQ: HANS) dropped another $9.37 to close at $161.00, this has been a
daily occurrence with the stock so you may be seeing lots of profit
taking from those investors and institutions that own the stock below
the $100 mark, and who could blame them with the run that this one made
in a 12 month time frame.
Other stocks that traded down but
shouldn't be down there include China Life Insurance (NYSE: LFC) which
traded down $4.67 to close at $58.69, Expeditors International (NASDAQ:
EXPD) traded down $3.88 to close at $94.59, Parlux Fragrances (NASDAQ:
PARL) traded down $3.25 to close at $20.85, UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) traded
down $2.93 to close at $107.50, Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM) traded down
$2.87 to close at $101.49, Kookmin Bank (NYSE: KB) traded down $2.80 to
close at $74.70, Wesco International (NYSE: WCC) traded down $2.72 to
close at $60.68 and PetroChina Co (NYSE: PTR) which traded down $2.59 to
close at $99.41.
Now some stocks under ten bucks that received
the royal smack down on Thursday include Finisar (NASDAQ: FNSR) which
traded down $1.11 to close at $3.36 down about 25%, Exide Technologies
(NASDAQ: XIDE) traded down 40 cents to close at $4.40, U.S. Energy Corp
(NASDAQ: USEG) traded down 35 cents to close at $4.10, Advanced
Semiconductor (NYSE: ASX) traded down 33 cents to close at $4.56 and
Triquint Semiconductor (NASDAQ: TQNT) which traded down 30 cents to
close at $4.68.
Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades
Recent Analyst
upgrades include International Rectifier (NYSE: IRF) was upgraded to an
Above Average from an Average by Caris & Company, Zale Corporation
(NYSE: ZLC) was upgraded to an In-Line from an Underperform by Goldman
Sachs, Service Corporation International (NYSE: SCI) was upgraded to an
Overweight from an Equal Weight by Lehman Brothers, CNET Networks
(NASDAQ: CNET) was upgraded to a Buy by Stifel Nicolaus, and SBA
Communications (NASDAQ: SBAC) was upgraded to an Outperform from a Peer
Perform by Bear Stearns.
Recent Analyst downgrades include Wells
Fargo (NYSE: WFC) was downgraded to a Hold from a Buy by Sanders, Morris
& Harris, Medical Action Industries (NASDAQ: MDCI) was downgraded
to a Neutral from a Buy by Sidoti & Co, Boardwalk Pipeline (NYSE:
BWP) was downgraded to a Hold from a Buy by AG Edwards, Parlux
Fragrances (NASDAQ: PARL) was downgraded to a Hold from a Strong Buy by
Wedbush Morgan and Cyberonics (NASDAQ: CYBX) was downgraded to a Neutral
from a Buy by Suntrust, Robinson, Humphrey.
Recent analyst
coverage initiations include TLC Vision Corp (NASDAQ: TLCV) was
initiated with a Market Perform rating by JMP Securities, Labopharm
(NASDAQ: DDSS) was initiated with a Buy rating by Banc of America
Securities, Viisage Technology (NASDAQ: VISG) was initiated with an
Outperform by Raymond James, Novatel Wireless (NASDQ: NVTL) was
initiated with a Sector Performer rating by CIBC World Markets, and
Lexmark International Group (NYSE: LXK) was initiated with an Equal
Weight rating and a $58 price target by Lehman Brothers.
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